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It's getting crowded

10/29/2011

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Picture1710 - Less industry - and less crowded
The Industrial Revolution has made the world a place the Ancients would have a hard time recognizing as the same planet they walked thousands of years ago. From electrical devices, to modern transportation, to global climate change - industry has changed everything. 

The quantity, quality, and speed of change in the post-industrial world is mind boggling. By any indices you wish to cite, life has changed more in the last 250 years than in the previous 5000. It's astounding.

And this week the World's population will reach 7 billion. SEVEN BILLION. As in People.

To throw that mind-numbing figure into context - consider these interesting facts:

Picture2011 - A lot more - of everything
  • in the year 1700 the Earth's population was 600 million
  • in 1800 it was 1 billion
  • in 1930 it reached 2 billion
  • in 1999 - 6 billion

In other words - it took over six thousand years to reach 1 billion. But it has taken only 12 years to go from 6 billion to 7 billion. And that trend will continue.

 Experts calculate the Earth's population will reach 10 billion by 2083; almost 20 years before the turn of the next century.

PictureMid 60's. Ahhh - nice day for a drive
To give you an idea of how many a billion is - consider that 1 billion seconds ago it was 1789. And we've added that many people in just 12 years.

The question comes to mind - how many people can the world support? It's a complex discussion - but one thing is clear. But no matter how many the Earth can support, a lot of thought and planning will have to go into making sure so many people can live in a way that is acceptable. 

With 1 billion people currently living without access to clean water - how do we insure that the next billion won't just be added to that group? To say nothing of eliminating this problem altogether. And that's just one factor of many.

Two-thirds of the water used on Earth today goes toward agriculture. And the lion's share of that (statistics vary) is targeted at meat production in one way or another. Cattle eat grain - and it takes 16 pounds of grain to produce 1 pound of meat. And that takes a lot of water.

Picture2011. We might need to rethink this
So one thing is definitely clear; the 10 billion people of 2083 will not be able to eat the way most Americans eat today. There just isn't enough water to produce that much meat. And so - the world's diet will have to change. Whether we want it to or not.

Seven billion is a milestone worthy of noting; both for it's absolute quantity and the speed at which we reached it. And frankly, it's a little unsettling. 

It seems obvious that unless human societies begin to drastically and quickly change how we approach human organization on Earth - the tipping point at which unforeseen affects start to overwhelm the impact of conscious interventions will be reached - and soon.
 
And that's a little scary.

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      I'm a writer living in the San Francisco Bay Area and Montréal, Québec - and this is my blog.
     Some of my writing is practical, some philosophical, but all of it generally accurate and occasionally amusing. 
     You might stumble on a rant here and there - but otherwise it's a pretty relaxed, fairly interesting spot to spend a few minutes.
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